Archive for the 'Supply Chain & Logistics' Category

The Total Impact of Off-shoring

Thursday, May 10th, 2007

Lately, I’ve been running into manufacturing companies that have off-shored much of their value stream. One company’s “China strategy” involves buying components from vendors and also building sub-assemblies at a company controlled plant in China.

That’s fine, and I certainly understand the compelling economics in some situations (for example, commodity items with high labor content). But too often, the visible savings with direct labor overshadows the less obvious yet greater wastes that are created. For example:

  • Less agility. As Bill Waddell wrote earlier, “you can’t pull from China“. Your ability to adjust to customer demand is compromised if your total lead times are four times longer.
  • More inventory.
  • More defects. Why? There’s a longer delay between defect creation upstream, and defect detection downstream.
  • More transportation.
  • More management costs. The effort to integrate operations overseas is usually underestimated.
  • Product development and launch. Lean product development principles require concurrent engineering and a minimum of knowledge “hand offs”.

I’m not saying that having an off-shore strategy means that a company is not lean. I am saying that having some of your value chain somewhere else in the world for the sole purpose of reducing direct labor costs is a huge red flag. Be sure you understand the significant waste, cost, and additional lead time that will be created as a direct consequence.

Client Example: Staying Close to Operations, Part 3

Thursday, February 8th, 2007

Our client continues describing how staying close to operations helped with their problem solving (see part 1 and part 2):

“We now understood that a root cause of our problems with delivery times and parts shortages is how we manage our logistics and signal delivery of parts from our suppliers. Our operations use an MRP system overall, with one exception: the assembly operations for one value stream implemented a simple pull process. So in effect, we now had two logistics processes, what our change agent calls an MRP/push process and a kanban/pull process.

“Not surprisingly most of our problems were within the value stream where we were using both: kanban/pull within assembly, and MRP for the supply chain. I felt I wanted operations to have a single, consistent logistics process across all value streams, but how do we get there? I was also getting a lot of push back from my Material organization; I had several key professionals who are CPIM certified, and felt strongly that a well designed and managed MRP system would be our safest, most proven approach. I was concerned how they would accept a different approach like a kanban/pull process. Would they help make it work, or try to prove that it was a poor decision?

“I finally decided to pilot a kanban/pull process across one entire value stream - the same value stream that was using kanban/pull for assembly. I felt we could learn from this experience without adversely disrupting our entire operations in case something went wrong. We had considerable discussion about preserving MRP as a “fall back” in case the kanban/pull effort did not work out, but our change agent encouraged us to be unequivocal about our decision and to be committed to the success of this pilot. In hindsight, the commitment of my staff, including Materials, was critical to success. Things things made this commitment possible:

- My ability to achieve alignment with the decision. This was achieved during a project planning session facilitated by our change agent. We learned the importance of all of us being committed to my decision, even though not every one agreed. [Editors’ note: See Case Study: Eliminating Waste From Your Team’s Decision Process for more about this process.]

- Initially focusing our efforts on one value stream. This allowed us to get the kanban/pull process up and running quickly, which in turn persuaded many of our MRP loyalists to get behind the effort. It also provided us with a cookbook for implementation with our other value streams.”

- Working with a resource who has been through this “MRP uncoupling” process before. We happened to use an outside change agent (LEAN Affiliates), but the key is the presence of an experienced professional to help avoid the pitfalls, accelerate implementation, and help pull the team together with confidence.”

Client Example: Staying Close to Operations, Part 2

Sunday, January 14th, 2007

Our client continues describing how staying close to operations helped with their problem solving (see part 1):

“When we began our lean journey a few weeks ago, we decided to start on the production floor with a specific value stream. We wanted to see results quickly, so we chose a limited scope for our initial efforts: in-house assembly and test operations.

“We started with 5S and then changed the layout to accommodate our plans for flow and pull. Our supervisors did a great job of implementing a simple visual management system so we all know how the schedule is progressing relative to takt time.

“What we didn’t expect were the parts shortages. Our Materials organization just didn’t seem able to deliver parts to support our production schedule.

“After our Gemba Walk and a review of our observations with the management team, we developed a hypothesis for what was causing our parts shortages: a mismatch between the daily pull process we implemented in assembly and our current MRP-based logistics processes.

“While we managed assembly to a level production rate based on customer demand, delivery of parts to assembly was managed by our MRP system – which in turn was driven by a master production schedule that was different than the level production rate set by Assembly. Also, lead times didn’t match the new lean assembly operation on the floor so the timing of parts delivery did not match what was needed on the floor.

“Our team now faced the question: How do we fix this problem? Many in Materials were confident that the MRP system could be adapted to support lean. They wanted to change the Master Production Schedule to match the level production rate in Assembly, while the lead times in the system could be adjusted to match the new lean processes. However, the outside change agent that we were working with, LEAN Affiliates, recommended a different approach: stop using MRP for scheduling delivery of parts and instead use a pull process across the value stream. They described a methodical approach for “uncoupling” MRP so that the ordering and movement of parts is managed as part of an integral pull process along the entire value stream. This made sense to many of us since it eliminated the use of two parts logistics systems – MRP and a pull process – but the effort of uncoupling MRP represented a radically different approach than what we were doing. We worried about the risk of disrupting production and missing customer shipments if anything went wrong.”

[Editor’s note: This story began with a perceived problem with the capacity of the AGV system, but after observing operations for a few hours this management team has discovered an underlying problem: the use of two fundamentally different logistics systems for signaling the delivery of parts.

Next post: Our client decides how to move forward.]

Client Example: Staying Close to Operations

Tuesday, January 2nd, 2007

Before the holidays, we talked about staying close to operations, and one specific habit to help do that, The Gemba Walk.

Since then, a client agreed to share his experience with us:

“My staff was reviewing the performance of an automated guided vehicle (AGV) system we implemented earlier in the year. Although initially it reduced the ‘stock to line” delivery time for parts, during the past few months delivery times were creeping back up again. Some thought we needed to increase the system’s capacity by adding a vehicle. But at the same time we knew that our volumes were steady and couldn’t understand the need for more capacity.

“So our Director of Materials and I decided to observe the delivery of parts to one of our lines during one afternoon. We parked ourselves in two different locations for four hours and watched what happened. At the end of the day we listed our most significant observations:

  1. Each AGV trip was handling only a fraction of its capacity of parts. Sometimes we would see an AGV pulling only a small box of hardware (fasteners, clips, brackets, etc.)
  2. The production lines the AGV system was supporting was down for over an hour because of a parts shortage.
  3. While the line was down due to a parts shortage, the AGV system continued to deliver parts to the line (but apparently not the parts that were ‘short’).
  4. A team lead (one of many associates who came to us to ask what we were doing) told us that since they implemented their kanban/pull system within their assembly line, the AGV System was not delivering the proper quantity or type of parts to support their schedule.
  5. Several of our Associates approached us and expressed how frustrated they are with the continual parts shortages, and the reluctance of Materials to fix the problem.
  6. There was more WIP than planned in the AGV drop zones for the line. Each drop zone overflowed with approximately twice the WIP they were designed to store.

“We then reviewed these observations with the plant manager, supervisor and team lead to create a hypothesis that would explain these observations.”

[Per our client’s request, we did not divulge the company name on the blog, but they are open to direct conversations about their experiences. Contact us to arrange this.

Next post: Our client develops a hypothesis that explains their observations.]

Passing in the Night: GE Ships of Waste

Wednesday, December 13th, 2006

Mark Graban recently posted about a Fortune Magazine interview with GE’s CEO, Jeff Immelt. While defending GE’s relentless practice of offshore production, Immelt uses two products as examples, jet engines and appliances. Although certainly not Immelt’s point, comparing these two product lines highlights an irony with their supply chains:

- 80% of their jet engine demand is outside the U.S. yet they manufacture in the U.S.

- Much of their appliance business is domestic, yet they manufacture those outside of the U.S.

It’s a funny but sad visual: somewhere in the middle of the ocean the GE appliance ship from China and the GE jet engine ship from the US are passing in the night.

In contrast, the best manufacturing companies set up shop close to their customer base to simplify their supply chain, shorten lead times, and minimize waste (like inventory and transportation).

If this is the case, then why does GE burden itself with these long, costly overseas supply chains?

Maybe GE can’t manufacture jet engines overseas because their overseas operations don’t have the quality capability…

And maybe GE can’t manufacture appliances in the U.S. because their domestic operations are not lean.

Indeed, being competitive with local labor costs is a challenge that the best lean companies can solve. For more about this, see Bill Waddell’s post Josef’s Geography Lesson.

It Takes Talent

Wednesday, October 4th, 2006

When you boil it all down, the essential element in lean manufacturing success is manufacturing talent. If the folks running manufacturing operations are smart and committed, you’re probably going to do OK. If they’re not, you will fail. Most of the companies I come into contact these days have plenty of commitment and enthusiasm from their manufacturing leadership team, but they are so far off the mark from a knowledge and skills perspective that lean is a pipe dream.

Companies would never dream of hiring someone in Accounting, IT or Engineering unless that person has a college degree and strong experience. Yet they routinely fill just about every operations position from within, putting hard working and dedicated people from the shop floor into positions of supervision, team leadership, planning, scheduling and buying. More often than not, these folks have a high school diploma and an in depth knowledge of how things have always been done in the plant … and nothing more.

Most glaring is the near universal tendency to put such people in planning and scheduling jobs. Lean is all about flow, yet management has so little appreciation for the knowledge and skill required to optimize factory flow that the people responsible are often the least educated, least outside experienced people among the salaried ranks of the company. More often than not, these folks are little more than MRP mechanics, who know how to put data into the system and extract it as needed to push paper onto the factory floor, but wholly ignorant of how the system works, why it does what it does, or how lean principles differ from their current methods.

Before launching a serious lean transformation, I would suggest that the top executive have HR do a little analysis and figure out for each department within the company, what percentage of the staff is degreed and what percentage has significant outside experience in their technical area.

The reason the factory is not a whole lot leaner should be pretty obvious when the exercise is complete. You get what you pay for, and if the company policy is to pay top dollar for highly qualified financial talent, but to run the factory with the cream of the local high school’s graduating class, lean isn’t going to happen in the very near future.

You Can’t Pull From China

Wednesday, September 27th, 2006

Just in case there is any lingering confusion out there, I thought I’d take a few minutes to make it clear that you cannot deploy a kanban, or pull system, to get parts from China to your factory in the U.S. - at least you can’t do it and make any money at it. The size of the kanban would be astronomical - enough parts to protect a 30-60 day long supply chain tail including a big enough buffer to protect against anything and everything that might happen to cause a fluctuation in demand during that time - and to keep from shutting your plant down, that buffer has to be set at 2-3 sigma, and you can’t afford it.

So if you want to buy parts from China, you have to use MRP or some similar form of push voodoo to bring in what you think you might need in the future. That means you need some sort of MRP type forecasting and master scheduling witchcraft on the front end of the business … and all of that means you are not really lean. You are a traditional manufacturer with some lean looking stuff in the middle of the process.

Lean is not aimed at every kind of waste, or any kind of waste, or whatever management decides to classify as waste. It was designed to support a specific set of seven wastes in the manufacturing process and lean is very effective at attacking those wastes. One of the seven is waste of transport. All of the time material is en route from one place to another with no value being added to it, money is being wasted, quality is being degraded, and customer service is slipping downhill. When you decide to buy major pieces of the product on the other side of the globe, you are making a conscious decision to build a very big chunk of waste smack dab in the middle of the process. You can put all the perfume on that pig you want to, but you cannot make that process lean.

There are two distinct paths in manufacturing: The one that deploys lean tools to attack the seven forms of waste, and the one that deliberately builds waste as a tradeoff in pursuit of cheap labor. The first company is lean; the second can never be lean.

Just thought I’d clear that up.

Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Manufacturing

Tuesday, July 4th, 2006

The founders of the United States demonstrated quite a bit of wisdom in many areas and it is fitting that one of our most widely, happily and passionately celebrated holidays is the anniversary of their courage and accomplishments. Little known, however, is that manufacturing was squarely in the center of the agenda for the American Revolution.

Everyone seems to be wringing their hands over globalization these days as if it is some new phenomena, thrust on the world as a result of the internet and telecommunications. I am often amused at how our collective ignorance of history and self-centered culture leads us to believe that everything that happens in our world is entirely new, and is the biggest, worst, most stressful, greatest or some other ‘est’ that has ever happened. It is rarely true. The guy who wrote The World Is Flat is an excellent case in point. According to him we entered into a whole new economic era driven by globalization in about 2000. In truth, absolutely nothing happened in 2000 - or at any other time in the last 100 years that comes close to the globalization challenge British manufacturing faced prior to the American Revolution.

The economic idea behind Great Britain’s colonization of the world was a quest for raw materials. Colonize North America, have the settlers harvest wood, tobacco, animal pelts and just about anything else that could be found, ship it to England where the British manufacturers could make it into something useful, then sell it to the rest of the world. That was the grand scheme. The fly in the ointment was that the pesky colonists kept setting up factories of their own to make things out of the raw materials, cutting the factory owners in England out of the supply chains. British manufacturing found itself in the crosshairs of globalization pressure such as had never before existed in history.

Just like they do today, business owners tried to overcome poor logistics and lousy cost structures by government fiat. A series of laws were passed in England aimed at stifling American manufacturing, and especially trying to put a stop to colonial manufacturing for export. Textiles were especially nettlesome. The British wanted a sheep to be sheared in Massachusetts, the wool to be shipped to England and made into a shirt or whatever, and then the shirt shipped back to Massachusetts to be sold to the guy who had sheared the sheep. The folks in Massachusetts had a different idea - namely cutting out the middle men and eliminating the waste of all that back and forth across the Atlantic Ocean. For exactly the same reason Toyota builds cars in the U.S. for the U.S. market and in Europe for the European market, the only sensible place to manufacture goods for the colonies was in the colonies.

At any rate, people in the colonies signed up to fight in the Continental Army against the British for a lot of different reasons, but quite a few of them were motivated by what they believed to be a God given right to manufacture without the imposition of regulations and taxation by the British government in their misguided attempt to protect their manufacturing base from globalization.

In retrospect, British manufacturers would have been far better off had they invested in manufacturing in their colonies - especially in North America - and pursued a strategy of manufacturing close to the customer.

The manufacturing and logistics lessons from history are clear, and the internet has not changed any of the fundamentals. It is dumb to manufacture goods in England for customers in the U.S.; it is dumb to manufacture goods in the U.S. for customers in Asia; and it is dumb to manufacture goods in India or China for customers in England or the U.S. Local manufacturing inherently has a shorter cycle time and less waste in the process, and - convoluted economic theories be damned - it always prevails because it is always the highest value proposition.

The moral of the story: When you hoist a cold one to salute the founding fathers today, don’t forget to salute the folks who fought and died to protect your right to fire up those hot dogs and hamburgers on an American made Weber Grill.

L-E-G-O: Danish for ‘waste’

Friday, June 23rd, 2006

What do you suppose the cost of a Lego block is when it pops out of an injection molding machine? A penny, maybe? Two at the most. It takes an extraordinary amount of waste for that penny toy to become a premium priced addition to your kid’s toy box.

It will be palletized and un-palletized three or four times, at least. It will move in and out of three massive, automated distribution centers, tracked by two different RFID systems, roll down miles of conveyor, shrink wrapped, un-shrink wrapped and re-shrinkwrapped, scanned into and out of two ERP systems and one MRP system. Since the time to move that plastic block that many times through that many systems across a continent or two is pretty substantial, the fraction of a second it takes to actually make the block has to be planned and scheduled months in advance using globally integrated forecasting technology.

By the time the ‘Global Supply Chain In The Information Age’ folks get done with it, that toy with value measured in pennies has a cost measured in dollars. The Lego company was doing OK until a few years ago. They were under competitive pressure, of course, and they were working on building their market in a lot of innovative ways - some worked and others didn’t. Then something happened that is awfully hard to explain, but the Lego folks swapped ‘nurture the child’ for ‘nurture the semiconductor’ in their corporate culture. Oracle and IBM were very well nurtured, but it seems that just about anyone peddling warehouse, planning or tracking technology got at least a warm hug.

If anyone bothered to map the process a Lego block follows from start to finish, they would have to be insane to miss the reason why Lego found themselves losing money after all of this technology was deployed. It was so ludicrous that at one point, they were making blocks in their factory in Connecticut, packing, palletizing, shrink wrapping and loading it into trailers - then hauling it across the parking lot to their distribution center to undo all of it and put it into warehouse racks. If the product has to go to Walmart or Target - Lego’s largest customers - it is unwrapped and labeled with an RFID tag, then re-wrapped.

The ERP mindset is so ingrained at Lego that their customers had to hack into their system to get what they wanted. Their ‘Lego Factory’ product offered customers a tool to go online and design the structure they wanted to build with Lego blocks, then Lego would convert that into requirements for each little plastic block it took to make it. When customers found they were paying for more blocks than they needed, always having several left over, they hacked into Lego’s system and found that Lego was calculating the block requirements in lot sizes. If the true requirement was for, say 23 pieces, and Lego batched them in lots of 10, the system would calculate demand for 30 then ship and bill that many. Customers found they could go into Lego’s system and figure out the real demand using little more than logic and common sense.

Lurching from one strategic fad to the next, rather than taking a long look at the exorbitant waste in the system, management’s next move was to outsource. The problem, they determined, was high labor cost. People could be had for 20-35% less in the Czech Republic, said the CFO, so off they went. The operation in the U.S. is being closed and that work sent to Juarez, Mexico. It has apparently never occurred to them to simply stop doing much of this non-valued added shuffling of little plastic blocks and save 100% of the labor cost.

Automating a process without first getting the waste out of it simply enables you to waste money at speeds you previously though to be impossible. Outsourcing to get 1/3 off of something you don’t need in the first place is hardly a bargain.

Management at Lego and everywhere else has to have a very clear vision of their value steam from start to finish, and a firm strategy to optimize that value stream. Being driven by labor costs, rather than the critical metric of the ‘Value Added Ratio’ – the time during which the product is having its value increased in the eyes of the customer, as a percentage of the total time – leads to stories like the Lego tale.

Inventory is waste – and inventory management systems are Waste Management Systems. In moving it all to the Czech Republic and Mexico, Lego has simply found cheaper garbage men.

Walmart Escalates War on US Manufacturers

Tuesday, April 11th, 2006
Walmart’s business model has long been biased against American manufacturers. They have forced American companies to compete on Asian producers’ terms. Now they just made it tougher. It is difficult to see how any American company can - or would even want to try to - sell to them.

Over the years, Walmart has poured billions of dollars into its vaunted logistics system. They have vast distribution centers loaded with automated equipment and whiz bang technology, employ thousands of people, and own a fleet of trucks. All of that represents a very big fixed cost that was put in place to handle massive amounts of inventory. They do not order quantities a single store needs for a short period of time. They order quantities a region full of stores will need for a long period of time. They order by the truckload - or lucky for the Asians - by the container load. They then dump those mountains of product into the distribution system that slices, dices, sorts and otherwise whips it around to where it needs to be.

That works out real well for the Asians. They don’t have to meet anything close to ‘just in time’ to meet true customer demand. An American manufacturer who heads down the lean path has always found that their short cycle time, small quantity capabilities are of little value to Walmart. Since Walmart already has their great big fixed cost in place, they don’t want small lot, short interval deliveries - they want big quantity, long lead time deliveries. After all, that is what their system is designed to handle.

But Walmart has caught the JIT fever. They now want short lead times from their suppliers - but only from their American suppliers. P&G, Clorox, Spectrum Brands, Kellogg’s and Playtex are a few of the big American manufacturers crazy enough to try to make money selling to Walmart. They are the ones now under the gun to deliver with short cycle times to the Walmart DC’s in the US. The Asians, who are rapidly approaching half of all of Walmart’s purchases, are under no such pressure. Despite the fact that most of Walmart’s stores are in the U.S., and this is where most of the goods Walmart buys in Asia are sold, it is still OK for Walmart’s Asian suppliers to deliver to Walmart’s great distribution system in China - not in the US. The month of inventory Walmart carries while the Chinese goods are on the boat and clearing customs, then jockeying around in the US is OK by Walmart. No penalty there. It is only American made inventory they don’t want.

By laying in such a huge pipeline and a huge fixed expense for it, Walmart has made the incremental cost for buying in Asia, rather than the US, negligible. American companies have had to compete solely on purchase price with little penalty to the Asians for hauling their stuff halfway around the globe. Now Walmart demands that the US companies to carry the inventory, as well.

There is no company lean enough to do business with someone who places no value on time or logistics savings - doing all of their buying based solely on the price at the manufacturer’s shipping dock. It is even worse when that customer puts a cost on your inventory, but not on your competitor’s.

The companies I mentioned sell great American brands. Walmart is big - they account for 20 or 30% of some of these outfit’s business - but if the Americans can’t make money selling to Walmart, staggering volumes won’t help. They ought to tell Walmart to pound salt. If Walmart wants to tilt the playing field so radically in favor of the Asian suppliers they have come to know and love so well, let them become nothing more than a retailer of Chinese goods.

I bet that, when Crest toothpaste, Clorox, Rayovac batteries and Remington shavers - or any other great American made products - are no longer on the Walmart shelves, replaced with brands no one has heard of from some place no one can find on a map, even Walmart’s NASCAR customer base will abandon them. I know I’m done with them. I’m too selfish to be much of a ‘Buy American’ crusader, but I have my limits. And I won’t buy from someone who is blatantly anti-American.